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bpate4home

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Everything posted by bpate4home

  1. I monitor storms for our Firm and wanted to share info here as this thing is growing quick. I can't see to attach the graphics at the Moment so I've attached a PDF of the info. If you can get out of the way of this storm it might be a good idea. Otherwise, stay safe. The eye of hurricane Ida is becoming better defined as crossing Cuba had little to no effect on the storm. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is forecast during the next 24 to 36 hours and Ida is expected to be an extremely dangerous major hurricane when it approaches Gulf coast on Sunday. The SHIPS and LGEM models are showing a little less strengthening than previous runs. However, the HWRF and HMON models continue to forecast Ida to reach Category 4 intensity before landfall with winds approaching 140mph. Please note that these are 2 of 20+ models predicting Cat 4 status. We know this storm will be a strong Category 3 storm. The majority of the models are showing an expansion of the wind field as in it increases in strength. Tropical force winds are expected to affect the coast line beginning Sunday morning. Storm Surges in some areas are expected to be 15 + feet near Morgan City, LA, the mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs, MS. Overtopping of local levees outside of the Hurricane and Storm Damage Risk Reduction System is possible where local inundation values may be higher. As Ida moves into the Louisiana coast late Sunday, total rainfall accumulations of 8 to 16 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches are possible across southeast Louisiana and southern Mississippi through Monday. We could see major flooding along Ida's track and in to MS. Flash floods are a high risk along the LA coast to north of Lake Pontchartrain but chances of flash floods cover the entire LA, MS and AL coastlines and extend out to the FL Panhandle, Western AL, MS and portions of TN. Ida.pdf
  2. These are the extremes that are being used as fear mongering as they can be documented and they are the rare outliers. Again there are estimates as high as 40% of the population have had COVID with little or no symptoms but unfortunately these cannot be documented. I personally know 15 - 20 people who have had COVID or tested positive for the antibodies who have had little to no symptoms. I also know 3 that have died with the Virus but all 3 had severe underlying conditions of Cancer, major heart conditions and diabetes. I personally don't know any one who died strictly because of SARS-COV-2.
  3. Maybe true but looking at the age segments in the beginning of this the percentages followed the average ages of other deaths in the previous 10 years. Also, this is survival of the fittest. 94% of those that die from COVID have underlying health issues. These items have only changed slightly. The biggest concern that keeps getting pounded by the media is the asymptomatic carriers. I believe that is what most would have been 200 years ago. moot, point anyway as this virus is man made.
  4. As a kid I broke my arm and spent 13 + hours in an emergency room before seeing anyone. When my son had to go to the ER after cracking his head wrecking his bicycle - 9 hours. This has never changed - at least for me.
  5. As I stated above I've spent way too much time in Hospitals the last 2 years. The hospitals I was at with my son stated they were out of beds but even in the ICU floor I saw whole sections with the lights out. I've seen entire floors shut off. Send the patients to other Hospitals that have Room. I've talked to nurses that say this is not happening because the Hospitals would not get the $$$ for treating a COVID patient. I don't buy the whole we don't have room stuff.
  6. You will never see those wanting power saying those in power are doing a good job. But the flip side is look at the 'job approval ratings' put out by everyone, average them and then subtract 10 points. You may get a closer/accurate number. Our current congress in the US has an approval rating of roughly 26%. Frankly I expected that to be much lower but it is abhorrent. This is why many citizens want term limits and many politicians do not. Sorry that went a little political- delete if needed.
  7. LOL, yet you still find it and comment. I love the tag line too.
  8. Agreed. There is a ton of knowledge here.
  9. Typhoid is not a respiratory pathogen. It basically has to be ingested to spread. The scenario as you present it has some cross overs but take those with a grain of salt. Here is what I found on the CDC's site for the spreading of typhoid: How are typhoid fever and paratyphoid fever spread? These diseases are spread through sewage contamination of food or water and through person-to-person contact. People who are currently ill and people who have recovered but are still passing the bacteria in their poop (stools) can spread Salmonella Typhi or Salmonella Paratyphi. You can get typhoid fever or paratyphoid fever if You eat food or drink a beverage that has been touched by a person who is shedding (getting rid of) Salmonella Typhi or Salmonella Paratyphi in their poop and who has not washed their hands thoroughly after going to the bathroom. Sewage contaminated with Salmonella Typhi or Salmonella Paratyphi gets into water you drink. Sewage contaminated with Salmonella Typhi or Salmonella Paratyphi gets into water used to rinse food you eat raw.
  10. What I found is that it was a Road Star not necessarily a Venture: Yamaha XV1600A - Wikipedia
  11. Another good writeup on your experience. I've used socks from And One for the last several years. They are a tight fitting sock but I don't know if they are classified as compression socks. I got them because they stay in place on long days. In my Job I sit a lot also. I do get up an move around, wireless headsets are great for this, but my feet would essentially "go to sleep". I have not had that issue since I started using this type of sock.
  12. I consider myself a numbers guy also. I believe there is flaw in your statement. The big fear, especially early on, was the asymptomatic infected. How many have had the virus and never really knew it? This was the catalyst of the shut down of the world and continues to be the big thing behind the mask mandates. That could be a small insignificant number or it can be so large that it would change the conversation of the Virus completely. I lean towards the the middle of the road on that question. Why? There was a push around August of last year, more of an advertising campaign, for people to get tested for the antibodies. I know 10 or so people who were tested and 4 had the antibodies. Never knew they had the virus. Let's use 15 who got tested to be conservative. That's 3.75% of a sample, way to small of a sample to extrapolate. But the CDC has documented about a 10% infection rate of the entire US population. Fauchi has stated months ago that he estimates 14% - 20% of the US has been infected. ~37 million confirmed cases and ~323 million population is 11.5% of the US - pulled from this mornings totals. That would put Fauchi's low number inline with my experience but on the high end it would be more than the 9% based on todays numbers. There are also some Scientists who believe we have had a 50% infection rate already. This is a number I highly doubt too. My general rule of Thumb, take the 2 extremes then pick the dead center and you will be far closer than anyone else.
  13. My part is free? I pay my medical at what I consider to be extortionist rates already. Here's the kicker, I only use it when absolutely needed. To use your analogy - why should I pay for someone to run to the ER every time they or their kids sneeze? Also, The Vaccine isn't free. I hope no one really believes that big Pharma is producing these Vaccines out of the kindness of their hearts. Our Tax dollars are paying for it and they are raking in Billions in profits. BTW Hospitals get paid f0r every COVID Patient - see my comments above. They charge my insurance company over $75,000 for my wife to have a partial hysterectomy and 1 overnight stay. They are doing this for Free. NOTHING in life is free, someone is paying for it.
  14. And there lies the entirety of the drag: "For myself". There are WAY too many trying to take that choice away. I have to say I have great genes because you can count on one hand how many days of work I've missed due to illness in my entire adult life. Even fewer visits to a Dr. Are there times where I felt a little off - sure. Three of the times that I was out for illness and not injury was within a week of taking a Flu vaccine. Never again will I take one. I do have allergies, year round I have itchy eyes and a runny nose. If I follow the incredibly generic symptoms of COVID19 I would never see anyone again because they are the same symptoms. BTW: Losing smell or taste doesn't apply to me either. I never could smell and unless food is heavily seasoned it tastes bland to me. Stunk, literally I guess, I had to wash the dogs whenever they go sprayed by a skunk. My dad was the same way, come to think of it I never remember him being sick until he was in his late 60's and retired.
  15. Another thing to think about: The Virus COVID19/SARS-COV-2 is a respiratory virus. Every Scientist confirms this from both sides of the mask isle. There is a split on the vaccine too. Again not quite 50-50 but close. The media and the Bureaucracies of the CDC and WHO are pushing the Vaccine to eliminate this Virus. On the other side Science says that you cannot make a respiratory virus go away through vaccination as you would say small pox or the mumps. If you need proof of this look at the common cold and more specifically influenza. They have been vaccinating like crazy for influenza for ~60 years, since roughly 1960. does influenza still exists and kill 80k-120k annually in the US alone? Respiratory Virus' mutate in the wild, it is their nature. They saddest part of all of this craziness is that this Virus is man made.
  16. Since the beginning of 2020 I've been in more hospitals than in my previous 54 years on the planet combined. None for me and none related to COVID other than some BS stuff when our future Daughter In Law passed away in May of 2020. I've talked to at least 75-100 nurses, Drs. and administrators. They too are equally split on this, not quite 50-50 but pretty close. The exception are the administrators. They want the masks to mitigate financial risk and some want more COVID positive patients because they get $$$$. The $$$$ part was stated by 3 separate admins. It's a shame but it is my personal experience. Also, every single facility had the below sign hanging all over. Notice rows 2 and 3 and more specifically row 2. The fact they state that a healthy person wearing a mask is still at a high risk of infection says a lot about the effectiveness of a mask. The microbiologist I mentioned above said scenario 3 and 4 are virtually the same risk with very minimal difference in the risk of a healthy person becoming infected.
  17. Probably because both the CDC and WHO released documentation in May of 2020 stating healthy people should 'not' wear a mask. There are equal amounts of research on both sides of this and I personally know a microbiologist who was shut down and threatened that he would lose his grants if he did not fall in line. This guy was on the front line of AIDS when it first came out and helped develop some of the meds used today. I think he qualifies as an expert in this area of Science. Remember that SCIENCE it supposed to be objective. What the CDC, WHO and other government Bureaucracies are doing is not based on SCIENCE. It is based on fear and control with THEORIES that fit the agenda. OK leaders I'm ready for my time out.
  18. It’s time for this area to finally meetup details below. Let us know if you will be attending so we can call the restaurant and give them an idea of how many to expect. Everyone is welcome – even without a Venture. There is a small group coming from the Katy area and we’ve put together a route we will follow to and from. https://www.myrouteapp.com/en/social/route/4949823?mode=share. I can share this route file that will work on a 2018 Venture if anyone is interested and I can share other file times for other GPS systems, just let me know. Those that would like to meet in Katy to start we will meet in the Hobby Lobby parking lot (Fry and 99) stands up will be ~8:00am. We will stop at the Buc-ees on 290 in Waller to pick up more riders and provide a fuel opportunity. Stands up here ~9:15. If you are coming from another area, have a route planned and would like to share please let us know. Houston Area Meet and Eat Sunday, September 12th Estimated 1st arrival 11:30 Paradise Grille 15220 TX-150 Coldspring, TX 77331 Menu: Menu (paradisegrille-coldspring.com) The following Sunday will be a makeup day if we are rained out (or as we all know, hurricane delayed)
  19. I've used the Reda mentioned above fore years. It fits fairly well in the gen 2 saddlebags but not so well in the 2018. Never had any issues and have used it for many of my riding budies and a few momentary strangers. Even used it for a cager once.
  20. Maybe so but she'll never be as smooth as a Venture going triple digits 😉 besides I can't afford 2 of those women things we can't live without. Or should I say I wouldn't survive 2 of them. LOL
  21. I'm going to get it a bath. It needs it desperately.
  22. Got to ride to work the last couple of days. The ride home was in the rain both days. Now it needs a bath more than ever. Too much other stuff to do it now.
  23. I'm also getting ready to post one for the Houston Area toward the end of this month first part of September.
  24. Time to pop for the Corbin Fire & Ice Seat?
  25. Here's what I found last night. I was in the garage and I loaded a route and started playing around with the screen. I went through every option and I couldn't find a way to remove the first way point so I just shut everything down. This morning I started on my way to work and the route popped right back up. Stopped for gas and started going through the screens. This time I went into the edit route option. Bottom of the screen when you open NAVI. I had a list of 'stuff'. It was basically the first 6 or 7 way points. From here you should just be able to delete the way point you want to skip. It is not pressing one button like we would all like to see but I think this will work.
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